Please refer to investopedia.com for clarification on any of the technical words mentioned below. Companies listed
in the S&P/TSX Energy, Materials and Financials can be found at tsx.com. U.S. companies listed in Consumer
Staples and Health Care can be found at bigcharts.com, Industries.
1) Trend & Volume
- Two trading ranges: late August to late October early November (overlap into next range) and mid-November
till present. Hit 13,000 three times since December…is this minor uptrend breakout for real or will it retreat
back into the trading range. January volume is average with a couple of exceptions…is it enough to push the Exchange up and stay above the 13 level? Price volatility is low indicating a top or consolidation. The
S&P/TSX has had a nice run since the first week of January and due for a pullback.
2) Support & Resistance
Support Resistance
Minor: 12,500 Minor:
Major: 11,500 Major:
3) Trend Indicators – they turn after trends reverse: coincident or lagging indicators. Works best when markets
are moving but give bad and dangerous signals when the markets are flat.
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA): uptrend
- Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD): uptrend
- Weekly chart: price and MACD are in uptrends.
4) Momentum Indicators – these oscillators help identify turning points: are leading or coincident indicators and
often turn ahead of prices; momentum. It catches turning points in flat markets but gives premature and dangerous signals when the markets begin to trend.
- Stochastic: neutral to overbought
- Relative Strength Index: neutral
- Force Index:
5) Market Breadth
- S&P/TSX Advance / Decline Line: uptrend. tse70
- S&P/TSX On Balance Volume: uptrend. tse71
- Per cent of TSX stocks above 50-day moving average: 71% = overbought.
Source: stockcharts.com: $TSXA50R
- Per cent of TSX stocks above 200-day moving average: 67% = overbought
Source: stockcharts.com: $TSXA200R
- Bullish Per cent Index: 65% = uptrend/neutral
Source: stockcharts.com: $bptse
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